At the Washington Post on November 28, 2016 Jenna Johnson had an article titled ‘I will give you everything.’ Here are 282 of Donald Trump’s campaign promises.
In the aftermath of the election The Economist and YouGov did a poll about what people believe that was reported on December 27th in an article by Kathy Frankovic titled Belief in Conspiracies largely depends on political identity. It linked to a 144-page .pdf file with detailed results. Another Washington Post article by Catherine Rampell titled Americans - especially but not exclusively Trump voters - believe crazy, wrong things discussed some conspiracies. What caught my attention in the detailed results instead was two questions (#20 and #21) about campaign promises. One of them was:
“About how many of Donald Trump’s campaign promises do you think he will TRY to keep?”
Hardly any of them
Some of them
Most of them
All of them
When we look at the sum for All of them and Most of them, we see there is a large partisan divide. For the Total sample there is 38%. For Republicans there is 70% (like believing in Santa Claus), for Independents there is 35% (close to the Total, and half of that for Republicans), but for Democrats there is just 19% (half the Total).
A second more realistic question was:
“About how many of Donald Trump’s campaign promises do you think he will be able to keep?”
Here when we look at the sum for All of them and Most of them, we see again there is a large partisan divide. For the Total sample there is 23%. For Republicans there is 45% (almost twice the Total), for Independents there is 18% (again close to the Total), and for Democrats there is 14%.
Detailed results for this question are shown in another bar chart. Click on it for a larger, clearer view.
The image by Carol M. Highsmith showing a statue of Tex Randall came from the Library of Congress.