Showing posts with label politics. Show all posts
Showing posts with label politics. Show all posts

Friday, July 31, 2026

Do wind turbines kill all the birds? Or is it the cats instead?


 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Donald J. Trump often cites a very questionable number. Then he shows a lack of credibility by continuing to repeat it - even after it has been debunked. A number also needs to be put into context. How does it compare with other related numbers?

 

Back on June 2, 2016, there is an article by Vanessa Schipani at FactCheck.org titled Trump’s Hot Air on Wind Energy which said that:

 

“Scientific studies have come up with a wide range of mean estimates concerning bird mortality due to wind farms – from 20,000 to 573,000 bird deaths per year. But no study has estimated that wind farms presently kill 1 million birds a year, as Trump claimed.

 

 …A 2013 Nature study by Loss and others estimated that ‘free-ranging domestic cats kill 1.3–4.0 billion birds’ in the U.S. annually. But the researchers added, ‘Un-owned cats, as opposed to owned pets, cause the majority of this mortality.’

 In another study published in the journal The Condor in 2014, Loss and colleagues also estimated ‘that between 365 [million] and 988 million birds … are killed annually by building collisions in the U.S., with roughly 56% of mortality at low-rises, 44% at residences, and <1% at high-rises.’”

There is another article by Sophie Lewis at CBS News on October 23, 2020 titled Trump claims wind energy “kills all the birds.” Cats and windows are actually much more to blame. She said:

 

“During Thursday night's final presidential debate between the president and former Vice President Joe Biden, Mr. Trump reiterated his stance against wind energy with a peculiar claim: It ‘kills all the birds.’ 

 ‘I know more about wind than you do,’ Mr. Trump told Biden when moderator Kristen Welker turned to the topic of climate change. ‘It's extremely expensive. Kills all the birds. It's very intermittent. Got a lot of problems.’ "

 

 

 

 

 

 

  

 

 

 

 

A more recent article by Hannah Ritchie in By the Numbers on January 30, 2024 titled How many birds do wind farms kill? had the statistics that are shown above in a horizontal bar chart with a logarithmic scale. Cats killed 2400 million birds, while wind turbines killed just 1.2 million. So cats killed 2000 times as many as wind turbines! And cats were one of six categories that killed more birds than wind turbines did.

 

There is also an article by Joe Schwarcz at the McGill Office for Science and Society on October 11, 2024 titled The Windmills in Donald Trump’s Mind. And another article by Michael Doyle at E&E News on September 12, 2025 is titled Wind turbines aren’t the biggest threat to birds.

 

An image of wind turbines in Power County, Idaho was cropped from this one at Wikimedia Commons.  

 

 

Monday, June 1, 2026

How long have the political insults of calling Democrats either Dumocrats or Dumbocrats been around?


 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Donald J. Trump is not very original. An article by Patrick Reilly in the New York Post on May 15, 2026 titled Trump delights in savage new nickname for Democrats while revealing who inspired it described his supposedly originating Dumocrat.

 

But an article by Alyssa Ray at The Wrap on May 26, 2026 said Jimmy Kimmel Mocks Trump for Thinking He Came Up with ‘Dumocrats’ Line: ‘It was on The Simpsons in 1994’ | Video. That 13-minute video at Jimmy Kimmel Live on May 26. 2026 is titled Trump Skips Don Jr’s Wedding, Attacks DUMOCRATS on Memorial Day & Claims His Physical Went PERFECTLY. A 1:08 YouTube video clip by Luke Baker on May 27, 2026 is titled The Simpsons: Dumbocrats. The episode was in Simpsons Season 6, titled Sideshow Bob Roberts, and first aired back on October 9, 1994.

 

Is that the first use for Dumocrats? No! I searched at Google Books and found it in a Fortune magazine (Volume 58, 1958 - page 154) that refers to a monthly magazine called the Milner Dumocrat.

 

What about the similar term Dumbocrats? It turned up in an article by William Tucker in the American Spectator for May 1998 on page 26 titled Byting the hand that feeds us which said:

“The group heading up this opposition are known as Democrats, but let's call them by a more appropriate name, Dumbocrats.”

But my Google Books searches found that Dumbocrat also showed up way earlier. It was in the United States Review (Volume 199, 1927) on page 24 and then in The New Republic on September 12, 1928 in page 93. That insult is almost a century old! (And the Disney cartoon movie Dumbo only came out in 1941).

 

 

Thursday, May 7, 2026

An addition mistake in a recent article from the Idaho Freedom Foundation


 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

We need to carefully edit what we write, even just a table with a sum of six numbers. There is an article by Fred Birnbaum at the Idaho Freedom Foundation on April 30, 2026 titled Saving money should not be a thankless task for legislators. Fred’s LinkedIn page says has an MBA, so dealing with numbers should not be a thankless task for him. 

  


 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

That article contains the table shown above, which I have annotated. The line for Total saved before Governor Veto is listed as $107,576,800 – but is $800 too large; it should be $107,576,000. You can easily spot that the hundreds digit is wrong, since there are two 2s and a 6 which should total to 10 rather than 8. And similarly, the Total saved after Governor Veto is listed as $107,098,200 – but it also should be $800 smaller at $107,097,400.  

 

The adding machine image came from Wikimedia Commons.

 

 

Saturday, April 25, 2026

Donald Trump recently defended his mathematically impossible calculations of reducing drug prices


 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Back on December 18, 2025 I blogged about how In his 18-minute speech last night President Trump talked about reducing prescription drug prices by 400% to 600%. What would that even mean? He revisited that silly claim, as discussed by Will Weissert at AP News on April 23, 2026 in an article titled Two ways of calculating’: Trump defends his mathematically impossible calculations on drug prices:

 

“Trump acknowledged having boasted that his efforts to lower drug prices had reduced what consumers pay by ‘500%, 600%.’ But he added, ‘We also sometimes say 50%, 60%’ and called it a ‘different kind of calculation’ that could go up to ‘70, 80 and 90%.’

‘People understand that better,’ Trump said. ‘But they’re two ways of calculating’ and ‘either way, it doesn’t make any difference.’ ” 

And Louis Jacobson at Politifact that same day, April 23, 2026, had another article titled RFK Jr. said there’s more than one way to calculate a percentage decrease. That doesn’t add up.

 

 

Monday, April 6, 2026

Jim Jones sardonically described the Idaho state legislature’s budget process as being “Throwing together feathers, hoping for a duck”


 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

There is an article by Jim Jones in the Idaho Press on April 4, 2026 titled Jones: Budgeting process - throwing together feathers, hoping for a duck. And in the Lewiston Tribune on April 5, 2026 it similarly was titled OPINION: Idaho’s budgeting process is throwing together feathers, hoping for a duck.

 

He had served both as the Attorney General of Idaho for eight years, and an Idaho Supreme Court Justice for twelve years. Jim Jones has a way with words!

 

The ugly ducking cartoon was adapted from a February 21, 1906 Puck magazine cover at the Library of Congress.

 

Monday, January 12, 2026

How high did Donald Trump score on the Scholastic Aptitude Test (SAT)?


 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Far from a genius level! The Scholastic Aptitude Test (SAT) from the College Board has two sections: one on Verbal and one on Math, each with a range from 200 to 800. Usually folks report their sum. Recently it was revealed that in 1965 Donald Trump only scored 970 out of 1600 (less than halfway up). As shown above, that is lower than either the 1206 for George W. Bush or the 1032 for Bill Clinton.

 

An article at Collegevine on October 17, 2023 titled Here’s How 16 Celebrities Scored on the SAT said that both Will Smith and Mark Zuckerberg had a perfect 1600, while Bill Gates had 1590.

 

And curiously an article by Steven Walker at the Orlando Sentinel on October 1, 2025 titled Florida SAT scores increase in 2025, but still lag national averages described that:

 

“Florida’s average SAT score rose to 970 out of 1600, a 22-point increase from 2024, according to recently released data from the College Board, makers of the SAT, compared to a national average score of 1029. The increase largely mirrors the national trend.”

 


 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Also, as shown above, in March 1966 I scored 661 on Verbal and 613 on Math for a total of 1274. The booklet lists the following percentile ranks for seniors who later entered college (the average was 440 for Verbal and 509 for Math for a total of 949):

 

Score     Verbal    Math

700        99           96

650        95           87

600        89           76

550        81           61

500        69           44

450        54           31

400        37           18

 

 

Tuesday, December 30, 2025

Top 25 Lies of 2025 by Donald J. Trump


 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

It’s no secret that Donald Trump tells a lot of awful lies. He is mostly a fraud. There is an article by Daniel Dale at CNN on December 26, 2025 which is titled Analysis: Donald Trump’s top 25 lies of 2025. They are:

 

 1] Trump secured $17 trillion or $18 trillion in investments in 2025

 

 2] ‘Every price is down’

 

 3] Trump was reducing prescription drug prices by ‘2000%, 3000%’

 

 4] Foreign countries pay the US governments tariffs

 

 5] Portland was ’burning down’

 

 6] Washington, DC had no murders for six months

 

 7] ‘I invaded Los Angeles and we opened up the water’

 

 8] The Democratic governor of Maryland called Trump ‘the greatest president of  my lifetime’

 

 9] Ukraine ‘started’ Russia’s war on Ukraine

 

10] Trump was speaking ‘in jest’ when he promised to immediately end the Ukraine war

 

11] The US government had planned to spend $50 million on ‘condoms for Hamas’

 

12] Every drug boat in the Caribbean ‘kills 25,000 Americans’

 

13] Trump ‘didn’t say’ he had no problem releasing full footage of a September boat strike

 

14] Numerous foreign leaders emptied prisons and mental institutions to send their most undesirable people into the US

 

15] Trump ended seven or eight wars

 

16] ‘The people of Canada like’ the idea of becoming the 51 st US state

 

17] Capitol rioters ‘didn’t assault’

 

18] Critical media coverage of Trump is ‘illegal’

 

19] Trump didn’t pressure the Justice Department to go after his opponents

 

20] Obama, Biden and Comey made up the Epstein files

 

21] The 2020 election was ‘rigged and stolen’

 

22] The US is ‘the only country in the world’ with mail-in voting

 

23] Babies get 80-plus vaccines at once

 

24] Trump’s big domestic policy bill didn’t change Medicaid

 

25] The domestic policy bill was ‘the single most popular bill ever signed’

 


 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

On December 18, 2025 I blogged about how In his 18-minute speech last night President Trump talked about reducing prescription drug prices by 400% to 600%. What would that even mean? But the third item in the list had an even more ludicrous 3000% (29 times), explained by the graph shown above. And a post by Steve Benen at the MaddowBlog on December 18, 2025 is titled The top 10 most brazen lies from Trump’s year-end prime-time address.

 

 

Thursday, December 18, 2025

In his 18-minute speech last night President Trump talked about reducing prescription drug prices by 400% to 600%. What would that even mean?


 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

An article by Ted Johnson at Deadline on December 17, 2025 is titled Donald Trump used primetime address to insist “inflation is stopped” and “prices are down” – and to blame much on Joe Biden. It says:

 

He also talked of reducing prescription drug prices by 400% to 600%, defying mathematics.”

 


 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 


 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

As is shown above, if we extrapolate beyond the 100% decrease which makes sense, a 200% reduction means the seller would instead nonsensically pay the buyer the full price. A 400% reduction fraudulently means the seller would pay the buyer 3 times the price - and a 600% reduction means the seller would pay the buyer 5 times the price. But that’s not the first time Trump made these very silly statements. Another article by Bruce Y. Lee at Forbes on August 2, 2025 is titled Trump Says He Will Get Drug Prices Down By 500% to 1500%.

 

 

Monday, December 1, 2025

How Patrick Henry roused a nation to revolution


 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

250 years ago Patrick Henry delivered his most famous speech. A version of its text is here. There is an article by Drew Gilpin Faust on pages 22 to 26 of the November 2025 The Atlantic magazine titled No one gave a speech like Patrick Henry. On page 24 he says:

 

“Henry delivered his legendary ‘Liberty or Death’ speech on March 23, 1775, at the meeting of the Second Virginia Convention in Richmond’s Henrico Parish Church. The colonies were already well on their way to war with England, which would begin just a month later at Lexington and Concord. The First Continental Congress had the previous fall created a Continental Association committed to resisting British incursions on American rights, and Virginians were assembling to prepare for the conflict that was coming to seem inevitable. The decision to meet in Richmond, a modest town 50 miles beyond the reach of the royal governor in the capital of Williamsburg, was itself an indication that the representatives recognized the boldness of their actions.

Yet many members of the Virginia gentry remained nervous about what lay ahead and uncertain whether preparation was simply prudent or would in itself esca- late differences and make reconciliation with Britain impossible. These men of status, reputation, and means were not yet ready to risk their lives, their fortunes, and their sacred honor. It would be Patrick Henry’s job to get them there.

Some 120 Virginians, including such worthies as Jefferson and Washington, gathered on a hill high above the James River, crowding into the pewboxes of the wood-framed church, the largest structure available in a town that had only recently grown to 600 souls. After lengthy discussion ultimately approving the work of the Continental Congress, Henry rose on the fourth day of the convention to ask the clerk to read a set of resolutions proposing that ‘this Colony be immediately put into a posture of defence.’ The time had come for ‘embodying, arming, and disciplining’ a Virginia militia, he maintained. When cautious delegates objected to such a public declaration of military mobilization as unduly provocative, Henry responded with his famous speech.

The text that schoolchildren have declaimed and aspiring orators have studied since the early 19th century was derived from recollections that the distinguished jurist St. George Tucker provided to Wirt, Henry’s biographer, sometime between 1805 and 1815. Tucker was present at the convention to hear Henry speak, and judged that ‘nothing has ever excelled it, and nothing has ever equaled it in its power and effect.’ The version he provided for Wirt and for posterity rests upon the accuracy of his memory of a day more than three decades earlier. Historians have sparred for more than two centuries now over the reliability of this rendering. William Safire, the late journalist, presidential speechwriter, and authority on language and rhetoric, offered the measured assessment of an informed critic: ‘My own judgment is that Patrick Henry made a rousing speech that day that did conclude with the line about liberty or death; that a generation later, to respond to the wishes of his friend writing a biography of the patriot, Judge Tucker recalled what he could and made up the rest. If that is so, Judge Tucker belongs among the ranks of history’s best ghostwriters.’ A unique ghostwriter whose work followed rather than preceded the text.”

There is another article by Harry Kollatz Jr. at Richmond Magazine on March 21, 2025 titled ‘It is what we expect of you’ and subtitled Patrick Henry changed the course of history with a speech – though we’re not sure exactly what he said. Harry said:

“Henry’s rhetoric at Henrico Parish Church wasn’t put to paper by the eyewitness and judge St. George Tucker for more than 40 years. This came in response to frustrated biographer William Wirt, a lawyer and a member of Aaron Burr’s defense team in the former vice president’s Richmond treason trial, a United States attorney general, speechwriter and would-be 19th-century attorney turned novelist.

 Wirt began collecting material for a biography of Henry in 1808. He despaired of finding an accurate record of Henry’s ‘greatest hits’ from the earlier part of his career. Tucker wrote for Wirt his best recollection, although that correspondence went missing around 1904. Thomas Jefferson, who was in the room where the speech happened, also contributed his memory to the 1817 book. This material would form the most familiar version of Henry’s declamation.

 But did Wirt conflate the sentiments with the decades-old recollections of Judge Tucker?

At his Monticello library, Jefferson placed Wirt’s book on the fiction shelves. Perhaps this is also a reflection of his long-simmering dislike of Henry. Yet Jefferson somewhat grudgingly admitted, ‘It is not now easy to say what we should have done without Patrick Henry.’ ”

And on page 23 of his article Mr. Faust also said that:

 

“Henry reminds us of how our inability to hear the past before the advent of audio recording has left us with an incomplete and even distorted understanding of history. He lived in an era when the spoken word had not yet been overtaken by the power and reach of print. This was a time - and Henry was a figure - we can only poorly understand if we do not recognize the centrality of oratory.

An assiduous scholar has located nearly 100 responses by individuals who heard Henry’s speeches, so we at least have secondhand access to the impact of his words. We can’t retrieve his voice, but we can find accounts of how it made audiences feel. As one contemporary explained, there was ‘an irresistible force to his words which no description could make intelligible to one who had never seen him, nor heard him speak.’ On a trip through Virginia as a young man, the future president Andrew Jackson sought out the orator he had heard so much about. ‘No description I had ever heard,’ he reflected, ‘no conception I had ever formed, had given me any just idea of the man’s powers of eloquence.’ Patrick Henry had become a tourist attraction.

We can’t even read Henry’s most important speeches. The potency of his rhetoric derived in no small part from its extemporaneity. He left no texts or notes of his Revolutionary-era addresses, and observers described being so swept up in the moment that they were unable to document his performances. ‘No reporter whatever could take down what he actually said,’ the Virginia judge Spencer Roane remembered. ‘Much of the effect of his eloquence arose from his voice, gesture, etc., which in print is entirely lost.’ Today, Henry’s legacy is left chiefly to schoolchildren tasked with memorizing and reciting a reconstruction of his ‘Liberty or Death’ speech of 1775, pieced together by his biographer William Wirt from witnesses’ testimony two decades after his death.”

A Currier and Ives lithograph came from Wikimedia Commons.

Monday, November 24, 2025

The Idaho Freedom Foundation made a thoughtless proposal to completely eliminate the Idaho Commission for Libraries


 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

There is an article by Brett Farruggia at the Idaho Freedom Foundation on November 21, 2025 titled Ending Bureaucratic Excess in Idaho. It also was posted on November 22, 2025 at the Gem State Patriot News blog. It has a totally  thoughtless proposal – to completely eliminate the Idaho Commission for Libraries:

 

“Further savings can come from eliminating unconstitutional agencies that promote DEI ideology such as the Hispanic Commission ($557,283) and the Library Commission ($6,947,300).”

 

Back on September 1, 2025 the Idaho Freedom Foundation had an article titled Public Recommendations to Idaho’s DOGE Task Force to Increase Government Efficiency which listed the Idaho Commission for Libraries at #5 under recommended Agency Eliminations, but left off the DEI claim.

 

The Idaho Commission for Libraries is responsible for Libraries Linking Idaho (LiLI) which has databases with magazines and newspapers for public libraries in the state. It’s our public utility for information - a critical set of research tools for keeping the public informed. Back on February 23, 2020 I blogged about Finding speech topics and doing research. LiLI databases include, among others these 26 from EBSCOhost:

 

Academic Search Premier

Business Source Premier

Computer Source

Consumer Health Complete

ERIC – Educational Resource Information Center

GreenFILE

Health Source: Consumer Edition

Health Source: Nursing/Academic Edition

History Reference Source

Legal Collection

Literary Reference Source

MAS Ultra (for high school students)

MasterFILE Premier

MEDLINE

Middle Search Plus (for middle school students)

Military and Government Collection

Newspaper Source Plus

Primary Search (for elementary school students)

Professional Development Collection

Psychology and Behavioral Sciences Collection

Publication Finder

Religion and Philosophy Collection

Small Business Source

Teacher Reference Center

TOPICsearch

Vocational and Career Collection

 

Based on a state population of 2,032,120 that expenditure ($6,947,300) is only $3.42 per person – and a tiny part of the overall budget for Idaho.

 

Mr. Farruggia has the combination of arrogance and incompetence I have come to expect from the Idaho Freedom Foundation. I suspect he does not know much about what vital services the Commission for Libraries provides.

 

My cartoon was adapted from this one at OpenClipArt.  

 

 

Sunday, August 10, 2025

There is a big difference between an anecdote and an antidote

 












 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

There is a post by Dr. John Livingston at the Gem State Patriot News blog on August 2, 2025 titled Factions and Bullies. His subject was the tenth Federalist Paper by James Madison, published in November 1787 and titled The Union as a Safeguard Against Domestic Faction and Insurrection (continued). John began the seventh paragraph by claiming (my italics):

 

“Madison asserted and I must paraphrase that the anecdote for factional violence is a large Union with diverse life experiences and a common moral ethic.”

 

But there is a big difference between an antidote and an anecdote. According to the Merriam-Webster dictionary, an anecdote is:

 

“A usually short narrative of an interesting, amusing, or biographical incident.”

 

And an antidote instead is:

 

“A remedy to counteract the effects of poison”

                                         or

“Something that relieves, prevents, or counteracts“

 

As usual, Dr. Livingston didn’t bother to proofread what he wrote. Perhaps he just dictated it.  Rather ironically on July 27, 2025 he blogged about What’s in a Word. I last blogged about another mixup in a post on July 25, 2025 titled There are haves and have nots; but there are just two halves, and no halve nots.

 

An image of a story book came from OpenClipArt, and an image of a medicine bottle was adapted from the Library of Congress.

 

 

Tuesday, July 29, 2025

Disinformation from the Gem State Patriot News


 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

There is a post from Bob ‘Nugie’ Neugebauer at the Gem State Patriot News blog on July 27, 2025 simply titled Disinformation. The third sentence in his last paragraph says that:

 

“You will not find any disinformation in our newsletter and if you ever should we ask that you please let us know where we have gone wrong.”

 

But I already tried to do that, and was rejected. In a previous post on June 22,2025 titled Idaho Faces Growth and Ideological Challenges the fourth paragraph began by claiming that:

 

“Our nation’s welfare system represents a catastrophic failure that has entrenched poverty rather than eliminating it. Since Lyndon Johnson’s Great Society programs, poverty rates have remained frozen around 15% instead of continuing their post-World War II decline.”

 


 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

I discussed that claim in a post on June 25, 2025 titled The U.S. poverty rate has not been ‘Frozen around 15%’ since the Great Society. As shown above, from 1990 to 2023 it had moved up to 15.1% and down to 10.5%.  And I sent Mr. Neugebauer the following comment:

 

“Bob:

 

You are quite wrong about the rate for poverty. The only time the poverty rate was ‘frozen’ at around 15% was between 2010 and 2014. It was ‘frozen’ at 12.6% from 2003 to 2005 and at 11.5% from 2020 to 2022. In 2019 (under Trump) the poverty rate had fallen to 10.5%, which is 4.5% lower than the 15% you cited. Clearly you don’t know what you are talking about. For details see a post at my Joyful Public Speaking blog on June 25 titled The U.S. poverty rate has not been ‘Frozen around 15%’ since the Great Society.”

 

He rejected it and never posted that comment on his blog.

 

 

Tuesday, July 22, 2025

In a BBC phone interview Donald Trump said “I trust almost nobody”


 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

A video by BBC News on July 15, 2025 is titled Listen: ‘I trust almost nobody,’ Trump says when asked about Putin. If you trust nobody, then you will do your own research and will make bad decisions – like starting a trade war with tariffs on our neighbors, friends, and almost everyone else.

 

An article by Abbey Lewis at Harvard Business Impact is titled Good leadership? It all starts with trust. She says to be transparent, authentic, and reliable. And a second article by Col. Joe LeBoeuf and Lt. Col. Joe Doty at the Association of the United States Army on January 26, 2022 is titled When it comes to effective leadership, trust matters.

 

We are now just six months, or one eighth through Trump’s second term as president. The other seven-eighths likely will not make America great.  

 

 

Wednesday, June 25, 2025

The U.S. poverty rate has not been ‘Frozen around 15%’ since the Great Society


 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Sometimes just a little research reveals that a political pundit doesn’t know what he’s talking about. A post by Bob ‘Nugie” Neugebauer at the Gem State Patriot News blog on June 22, 2025 titled Idaho Faces Growth and Ideological Challenges claims:

 

“Our nation’s welfare system represents a catastrophic failure that has entrenched poverty rather than eliminating it. Since Lyndon Johnson’s Great Society programs, poverty rates have remained frozen around 15% instead of continuing their post-World War II decline. This system rewards dependency by incentivizing single-parent households, discouraging marriage, and enabling able-bodied individuals to avoid work.”

 

Did he look that up or just borrow it from somewhere else? I found an article by Rachel Bade at Politico on September 17, 2013 including that headline. It is titled Pro Report, presented by POWERJOBS: Obama orders security revie – Navy cut security to reduce costs – U. S. poverty rate frozen at 15 percent – Uninsured rate declines. It says:

 

U.S. POVERTY RATE FROZEN AT 15 PERCENT. One-in-seven Americans still lived below the poverty line last year, several years out from the recession. (The poverty line, FYI is just over $23,400 for a family of four). That’s about the same as last year, and the sixth straight year without improvement, according to an AP analysis. Although the unemployment rate sank from 9.6 percent in 2010 to 8.1 percent last year, poverty didn’t, and that’s unusual, analysts say: ‘Typically, the poverty rate tends to move in a similar direction as the unemployment rate, so many analysts had been expecting a modest decline in poverty,’ AP’s Hope Yen writes.”

 

There also is a 2017 book by Jon H. Widener titled The Nexus: Understanding Faith and Modern Culture which says:

 

“In the US, the poverty rate was going down until President Lyndon Johnson began the War on Poverty in the 1960s. Since then the poverty rate has been frozen at 14 to 15 percent and has stayed there despite an outlay of $20 trillion over all those years and despite the continuing outlay of $1 trillion a year. The unabashedly collectivist Obama administration continued these policies during its eight years.”

 

Another article at Debt.org on December 21, 2023 titled Poverty in the United States has a section titled Poverty Levels Over Time which instead states:

 

“In the late 1950s the poverty rate in the U.S. was approximately 22%, with just shy of 40 million Americans living in poverty. The rate declined steadily, reaching a low of 11.1% in 1973 and rising to a high of nearly 15% three times – in 1983, 1993, and 2011 – before hitting an all-time low of 10.5% in 2019. However, the 46.7 million Americans in poverty in 2014 was the most ever recorded.”   

 


 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

I looked up a detailed report by Robert D. Plotnik et al. of the Institute for Research on Poverty titled The Twentieth Century Record of Inequality and Poverty in the United States (Discussion Paper 1166-98 July 1998). Figure 3 on page 24 is shown above, with data for 1947 to 1996 (I added the times for the Great Society). Since those programs ended in 1968 the poverty rate ranged from 12% to 15% and never was frozen. In 1974 the rate hit a minimum of around 12%, 3% lower than the 15% cited by Mr. Neugebauer.

 


 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

How about more recently? There is a web page by Abigail Tierney at statista on September 16, 2024 titled Poverty rate in the United States from 1990 to 2023. A replot of her graph is shown above. The only time the rate was ‘frozen’ at around 15% was between 2010 and 2014. It was ‘frozen’ at 12.6% from 2003 to 2005 and at 11.5% from 2020 to 2022. In 2019 (under Trump) the poverty rate had fallen to 10.5%, which is 4.5% lower than the 15% cited by Mr. Neugebauer. Clearly he doesn’t know what he’s talking about.

 

The 1883 Josh Shaw painting of empty pockets was adapted from Wikimedia Commons.