The map shown above has states Obama won in blue, states Romney won in red, and states Rove predicted Romey would win (but Obama actually won) in purple. Karl was right about North Carolina, but wrong about the other six states and who would be president.
In the movie Forrest Gump, the main character proclaimed:
“My momma always said, ‘Life was like a box of chocolates. You never know what you're gonna get’."
Forrest might have flipped a coin to predict how those dozen states would come out, and he might well have done better than Karl Rove did.
Would you rather get a reputation for being wrong, or for being cautious and saying it’s too close to call? If you’re a pundit, then you feel compelled to make that prediction and risk losing your credibility. But, when the next election comes, people may remind you that you had behaved like the Aesop's Fable of the boy who cried wolf.
The Halloween image of an elephant was adapted from a 1912 Puck cartoon.